Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 14.005277 17.100973 20.540407 24.620144 29.301480 34.479326 40.612665
2025-10-26 9.758808 13.797937 18.780050 25.265183 33.364467 43.024568 55.286151
2025-11-02 7.048443 11.282576 16.972483 24.935301 35.527618 48.861469 66.613613
2025-11-09 5.417932 9.688411 15.870202 25.059205 37.918100 54.800309 78.106607
2025-11-16 4.193809 8.346863 14.794674 24.918461 39.732073 59.895735 88.594524
2025-11-23 3.175159 7.058197 13.526542 24.237250 40.584404 63.589979 97.252308
2025-11-30 2.666149 6.510040 13.297552 25.026832 43.529398 70.244013 110.160531
2025-12-07 2.085016 5.669034 12.423519 24.648895 44.621348 74.238937 119.456659
2025-12-14 1.708634 5.133908 11.981314 24.890109 46.624473 79.592301 130.839925
2025-12-21 1.257780 4.291107 10.813100 23.723620 46.243022 81.304945 136.938449
2025-12-28 1.066862 4.007195 10.677326 24.350421 48.798347 87.555402 149.920766
2026-01-04 0.882077 3.676621 10.384790 24.639494 50.774952 92.961216 161.795255
2026-01-11 0.718829 3.365135 10.119084 25.027359 53.082964 99.214433 175.557750
2026-01-18 0.599787 3.143280 10.021269 25.743841 56.037587 106.679773 191.544533
2026-01-25 0.453632 2.754242 9.445822 25.413184 57.065136 111.029766 202.808991
2026-02-01 0.356589 2.488419 9.114747 25.539188 58.911526 116.779325 216.442962
2026-02-08 0.271186 2.211409 8.688795 25.396375 60.218214 121.646735 228.794448
2026-02-15 0.191529 1.890718 8.058596 24.705030 60.398011 124.568066 238.061117
2026-02-22 0.160229 1.798723 8.075897 25.506354 63.541793 132.720569 256.107074
2026-03-01 0.114850 1.572691 7.621604 25.122806 64.277436 136.664288 267.303335
2026-03-08 0.088413 1.440462 7.435301 25.367603 66.293379 142.936811 282.542479
2026-03-15 0.054036 1.179994 6.725092 24.183715 65.244482 143.636079 288.395729
2026-03-22 0.043125 1.116339 6.713058 24.819889 68.079075 151.494201 306.617716